Thursday, November 28, 2019

UNC Basketball: Tar Heels get by Alabama, move on to face Michigan in the Battle 4 Atlantis



UNC 76-Alabama 67


Carolina dominated Alabama inside and on the glass, but once again had trouble closing out an outmatched opponent.  Garrison Brooks and Armando Bacot owned the paint, leading the Tar Heels to a 60-31 edge in the rebounding department.  Brooks finished with 20 points and 7 rebounds while Bacot chipped in with 12 points and 15 boards, but still Alabama was able to stay within striking distance the entire way.


UNC’s poor defensive game kept this one close.  Although they played with great effort, this team just isn’t playing very smart defensively.  There’s way too much overhelping when the other team starts to drive, leading to wide open three-point opportunities for the opponent.


John Petty was obviously the best shooter on the team coming in, and somehow Carolina allowed him to knock down seven threes, most of them uncontested.  Time and time again UNC defenders left him to help stop drives, something that was completely unnecessary with Brooks and Bacot defending the rim.  


This has been a common problem with many Carolina teams over the years, and they’ve got to be smarter knowing who to help off of and who to stay glued to.  KYP, know your personnel.


Kira Lewis and Cole Anthony’s point guard battle lived up to the hype, and in the end I think it was a draw.  Both showed why they’re future NBA players, and although they had poor shooting games, they mostly continued to do what they usually do.


Carolina was helped by the return of Brandon Robinson, a player they desperately need.  His size, shooting, and defense was badly missed over the last few games, and the Tar Heels will likely need even more from him in the next one against Michigan.


Leaky Black had one of his best games as well.  He was fantastic defensively, wreaking havoc in the passing lanes and doing a great job on the boards.  He does all the little things for this team, and when he’s attacking offensively like he did in this one he makes UNC a lot better. 


His size, speed, length, vision, and ball handling make him a terror in transition when he’s being aggressive, and he’s shown the ability to finish at the rim and knock down jump-shots.  He’s been a little hesitant and seemingly lacking some confidence early this season, but against Alabama he looked a lot more like the player I’ve expected to see.


Carolina didn’t get much else from its bench.  Andrew Platek made a few nice interior passes, but with all the injuries the Tar Heels just don’t have much depth.  An easy schedule has allowed UNC to survive despite this, but the next game against Michigan could be the one where it catches up with them.



Game 6: Michigan


Michigan comes in unranked, but from my view they’re a clear top-10 team.  They’ve got a senior leader in point guard Xavier Simpson, a go-to-scorer in junior Isaiah Livers, a versatile big man in senior Jon Teske, and a plethora of good shooters and defenders on the perimeter.  They can be vulnerable inside when Teske gets in foul trouble, but this is a complete team without a true weakness.


Xavier Simpson runs the show and sets the tone for this team.  He’s quick and extremely strong, and he gets in the paint at will.  He’s a very good finisher around the rim, and he has tremendous vision to find open teammates.  He also rebounds extremely well for a guy his size and seems to come up with the ones that really matter.


Isaiah Livers has great size and strength and is able to create his own shot.  He’s able to play both inside and out, and he’s looking like a potential first-round NBA draft pick.  


At 7’1” 265 pounds, Jon Teske is a massive presence on the floor.  He’s a good rebounder and rim defender with the ability to score in the post and on the perimeter, and the team definitely isn’t as good when he’s not on the court.  Getting him in foul trouble would give the Tar Heels a much better chance to win this game.


Eli Brooks and David DeJulius provide shooting, ball handling, and defensive help in the backcourt, while Franz Wagner and Adrien Nunez add more sharp-shooting on the perimeter.  

Colin Castleton and Brandon Johns Jr. have chipped in to give Michigan some depth down low, and first-year coach Juwan Howard has this team playing at a high level on both ends of the floor and improving each time they step on the court.


I hope I’m wrong, but I think Michigan gives Carolina its first loss and moves on to the finals to face the winner of Gonzaga and Oregon.  UNC has to once again dominate inside and on the boards and do a much better job defending the three-point line if it hopes to beat the Wolverines, but considering the trouble they’ve had with much inferior teams, I just don’t think the Heels get it done.  


Updated Rankings

2020 Team Rankings Games Seen Last
1 Louisville 1 11/5/2019
2 Arizona
3 Michigan 2 11/27/2019
4 Kansas   3 11/27/2019
5 Dayton 4 11/27/2019
6 Gonzaga 1 11/15/2019
7 Tennessee 2 11/16/2019
8 Texas Tech 1.5 11/21/2019
9 Duke 4 11/26/2019
10 Ohio St. 2 11/13/2019
11 Oregon 1 11/12/2019
12 Washington 2 11/16/2019
13 Auburn 2 11/8/2019
14 Baylor 1 11/8/2019
15 UNC 4 11/27/2019
16 Iowa St. 1 11/27/2019
17 Cincinnati 1 11/6/2019
18 Villanova 1.5 11/13/2019
19 Virginia 1 11/6/2019
20 VCU 1.5 11/13/2019
21 LSU 2 11/22/2019
22 Georgetown 2 11/21/2019
23 Indiana 0.5
24 Butler 1 11/12/2019
25 Stanford
26 Clemson 2 11/24/2019
27 TCU 2 11/24/2019
28 Virginia Tech 3 11/26/2019
29 Maryland 1 11/9/2019
30 Arkansas 0.5

2019-2020 NBA Draft Rankings

Rank Player Position Team Height Weight Year
1 James Wiseman PF/C Memphis 7'1" 240 Freshman
2 Obi Toppin PF Dayton 6'9" 220 Sophomore
3 Jaden McDaniels SG/SF Washington 6'9" 200 Freshman
4 Harlond Beverly PG Miami 6'4" 185 Freshman
5 Zeke Nnaji PF Arizona 6'11" 240 Freshman
6 Isaiah Stewart PF Washington 6'9" 250 Freshman
7 Filip Petrusev SF/PF/C Gonzaga 6'11" 235 Sophomore
8 Cole Anthony PG UNC 6'3" 190 Freshman
9 Tyrese Haliburton PG Iowa St. 6'5" 175 Sophomore
10 Anthony Edwards SG Georgia 6'5" 225 Freshman
11 Tyrese Maxey SG/PG Kentucky 6'3" 198 Freshman
12 Jordan Nwora SF Louisville 6'7" 225 Junior
13 Jahmi'us Ramsey SG Texas Tech 6'4" 195 Freshman
14 Vernon Carey Jr. PF/C Duke 6'11" 260 Freshman
15 Brandon Rachal SG/SF Tulsa 6'6" 220 Junior
16 Yves Pons SF Tennessee 6'6" 215 Junior
17 Samuell Williamson SG Louisville 6'7" 200 Freshman
18 Precious Achiuwa SF Memphis 6'9" 215 Freshman
19 Nico Mannion PG Arizona   6'3" 190 Freshman
20 Landers Nolly II SG Virginia Tech 6'7" 230 Freshman
21 Steven Enoch PF/C Louisville 6'10" 255 Senior
22 Isaiah Livers PF/SF Michigan 6'7" 230 Junior
23 Trayce Jackson-Davis PF/C Indiana 6'10" 235 Freshman
24 Wendell Moore Jr. SG/SF Duke 6'6" 210 Freshman
25 Nahziah Carter SG/SF Washington 6'6" 205 Junior
26 LJ Figueroa SF/SG St. John's 6'6" 195 Junior
27 Ochai Agbaji SF Kansas 6'5" 210 Sophomore
28 Cassius Stanley SG Duke 6'6" 198 Freshman
29 Josh Green SG/SF Arizona 6'6" 205 Freshman
30 Isaac Okoro SG Auburn 6'5" 200 Freshman








No comments: