Wednesday, April 13, 2022

Portsmouth Player Analysis

Jamaree Bouyea, San Francisco        

6’2” 180

PG/SG

Senior


Jamaree Bouyea might quietly be the most efficient player in college basketball.  He’ll likely be somewhat overlooked playing for a San Francisco team that isn’t typically mentioned among the nation’s top tier, but he has an incredible impact on his teammates and makes them all better.

Bouyea has the best feel of any player I’ve watched this season.  He’s lightning quick with a great handle that allows him to get anywhere he wants on the floor, and a nearly perfect ability to change speeds to keep the defense off balance.  He uses a deadly hesitation move to lull his defender to sleep, then quickly accelerates to blow by him. He plays the game at his own pace, and he makes the game look very easy even against the highest level of competition.

Bouyea can create his own shot whenever he wants, and he’s a very good shooter capable of making shots from all over the floor.  He’s also a great passer with tremendous court vision, and understands the right pace to put on each pass to give his teammates the best opportunity to do something with it.  

He typically starts the game looking to get his teammates involved, but he has a great feel for knowing when he needs to take over.  He’s an incredibly smart and under control player who nearly always makes the right play, and he manipulates the defense with ease with his pace and subtle use of head and shoulder fakes.  He sets great screens for his teammates, is a tremendous finisher around the basket, and makes difficult shots in the mid-range look easy.  His deep range on his 3-ball makes him nearly impossible to guard, and he’s proven to be clutch with the game on the line.

Defensively Bouyea is tremendous as well.  He uses his length and anticipation to wreak havoc both on the ball and in the passing lanes, and he’s even capable of defending the rim with well-timed blocked shots.  While he’s not the tallest guard, he’s still a very good rebounder with his timing and length.  He’ll almost certainly be a steal in this draft.

 

JD Notae, Arkansas

6’2” 190

PG/SG

Senior

 

Notae is a great ball-handler who can get wherever he wants to go on the floor.  He changes pace extremely well to get by his defender and weave through traffic, and he uses his sick array of moves and great body control to get to the rim at will.  Notae uses his body and strength very well to seek contact and create space to finish at an elite level around the basket, and he’s not afraid to challenge the bigs or finish over them with a floater.  

He’s a very good play-maker and passer with excellent timing on his passes, and he stays on the attack throughout the game and never gives the defense a break.  He’s constantly creating shots for himself and his teammates, and his deadly scoring prowess combined with his fantastic court vision makes life very difficult on his opponents.

Notae is a tremendous shooter with extremely deep range.  He’s dangerous off the dribble and is able to make difficult step-backs and fadaways from three and in the mid-range.  He never loses confidence and always keeps firing away, and he wants the ball and makes big plays with the game on the line.  While his low release could be a problem at the next level, Notae is a scoring machine and tremendous competitor who will find a way to impact the game.  He’ll likely need to work on getting a little more elevation on his shot, but he has the drive and work ethic to do it.

Notae is extremely good defensively as well. Despite his relatively small size, Notae is tough and strong and plays extremely hard.  He’s relentless on the ball and in the passing lanes, and he blocks way more shots than he should at 6’2”.  He was also the SEC steals leader.  Notae has an incredible all-around game, along with the competitive drive to make his mark in the NBA for a long time.

 

Payton Willis, Minnesota

6’4” 200

SG/PG

Senior

 

I’m expecting Payton Willis to be the standout surprise player of Portsmouth this year. He’s a phenomenal three-point shooter with extremely deep range, but he’s also deadly accurate with floaters and mid-range jumpers.  He didn’t have much help on a poor Minnesota team, but he did a great job of carrying them and giving them a chance to compete.

Willis is a great ball-handler who can get wherever he wants to go and create shots for himself and his teammates.  He changes speeds effectively to easily get by his man, and he doesn’t need much room to get his shot off.  He gets great elevation on his jumper, and he shows really good footwork while maneuvering his way around the basket and in the mid-range.  Willis is absolutely deadly off the dribble, and he often makes difficult and guarded shots look incredibly easy.

Willis has the size, speed, and quick release to score against anyone, and his accuracy from all over the floor is really impressive.  In a situation where there weren’t a whole lot of other offensive options, Willis consistently found ways to create space and score without taking terrible shots.  He always plays under control at his own pace, and he’s great at keeping defenders off balance and far enough away where they can’t significantly alter his shots.  He also moves really well without the ball, and he makes good decisions and finds the open man when the defense over-helps on him.

Defensively Willis is solid.  He doesn’t shy away from contact, and he uses his quick hands and feet to create problems for his opponent.  He fought hard despite his team’s struggles on this end, and he rebounds really well at the guard position.  Willis has every skill in the book, and I look for him to turn some heads this week.

 

Jordan Usher, Georgia Tech

6’7” 220

SF

Senior

 

Jordan Usher is probably under the radar due to the lack of success of his Georgia Tech team, but he quietly showed a high-level game at times without much help this season. Usher has NBA size and athleticism and plays with great energy, activity, and effort. He’s strong, physical, and is capable of doing everything well on both ends of the floor.

Offensively Usher is a playmaker who doesn’t need any plays called for him to make a big impact.  He’s a decent ball-handler and great passer who does a nice job creating shots for his teammates.  He understands when to deliver a pass and how much pace to put on it, and he sees the court incredibly well.

Usher has great elevation on his shot and is a good shooter capable of making difficult shots from all over the floor.  He moves really well without the ball and often finds himself open for threes, which he’s more than capable of knocking down.  His shot looks more accurate than his percentages would suggest, and I think on a better team his accuracy would increase.  He’s got a good mid-range game and has shown an ability to make tough shots both off the catch and the dribble.  He also uses his body and strength well to finish through contact around the basket.

Usher fights hard defensively and is very disruptive both on the ball and in the passing lanes.  His length and activity results in lots of deflections and steals, and he also does a good job boxing out and grabbing rebounds.  His well-rounded skill-set should give him a great chance for a good showing this year in Portsmouth.


Stanley Umude, Arkansas

6’6” 210

SG/SF

Senior

 

Umude is an extremely versatile role player who can take on a much bigger scoring load at times.  He’s got great size, strength, and athleticism, and he does everything pretty well on both ends of the floor.

Umude is a tough defender who can guard at least three positions.  He’s strong, quick, athletic, and aggressive, and he can make life difficult for any opponent.  He communicates well to keep his teammates in the right positions defensively, and he gets to more than his fair share of rebounds and loose balls.

Offensively he contributes in all aspects.  He moves extremely well without the ball, often finding himself open for easy layups and alley-oops that he usually finishes.  He’s a good shooter with three-point range, and he’s capable of making difficult shots, many times off of post-ups.  Umude is a decent ball-handler and good passer who can contribute to winning in a lot of ways.

 

Tyrese Martin, UCONN

6’6” 215

SG/SF

Senior

 

Tyrese Martin has NBA size, strength, and athleticism, and a skill-set that could certainly make him a good role player at the next level.  Martin is a tough defender who can guard three positions, and a great rebounder who snatches up more than his fair share of boards.

Martin is a great three-point shooter who is shot ready off the cut, and finishes well around the basket with put-backs and floaters.  He’s a decent ball-handler who doesn’t dribble very often, and he could definitely stand to be more aggressive looking for his shot or creating for his teammates.  He doesn’t always impose himself as much as he could, but this isn’t a trait that typically changes a whole lot, so Martin is likely no more than a complimentary piece in the NBA.

 

Quenton Jackson, Texas A&M

6’5” 173

SG/SF/PG

Senior

 

Quenton Jackson has great size, speed, length, and freakish athleticism.  He’s extremely aggressive and explosive on both ends, and it’s hard to find anyone who plays with more intense effort than he does.

Jackson never seems to tire.  He’s extremely quick, physical, and harassing defensively throughout the game, never giving his opponent a second to breathe.  He’s extremely good both on the ball and in the passing lanes, and he’s capable of changing the entire momentum of the game with a steal and ferocious dunk on the other end.

Jackson has a really nice handle and great vision.  He creates plays for himself and his teammates, and while he can get a little out of control driving the ball at times, I love his passion and aggression and expect him to continue improving year after year.

 

Koby McEwen, Weber St.

6’4” 195

SG/PG

Senior

 

Koby McEwen is strong, physical, intense, and extremely athletic.  He’s a good ball-handler who’s quick off the dribble and aggressive driving to the rim, where he seeks contact and finishes well through it.  He’s also a great shooter with deep range with accuracy both off the dribble and off the catch.  He’s a great competitor who can sometimes get a little too fired up and emotional and lose his cool a bit, but I’d much rather have someone I need to reel in a little than someone I’m constantly having to motivate to play hard.

McEwen is also very tough defensively.  His strength, quickness, physicality, and aggression make life miserable for his opponent, and he’s dangerous in the passing lanes and can change the momentum of the game with a steal and huge breakaway dunk.  He didn’t face the best competition all year, so I’m excited to see what he can do in Portsmouth.

 

Jamal Cain, Oakland

6’7” 191

SG/SF

Senior

 

Jamal Cain has great size and length, and he’s shown the ability to do most everything well.  He’s a good shooter from all over the floor when he takes smart shots, both off the catch and the dribble, and he’s capable of making difficult step-backs, fadaways, and floaters.  He’s deadly from 3-point range when he’s on and taking good shots, he creates his own shot off the dribble, and he can finish around the basket through contact.

Cain is very athletic, and he uses this athleticism well in all aspects of the game.  He’s an incredible rebounder and versatile defender capable of guarding at least three positions and maybe even four.  He basically played center at Oakland, so he’s had plenty of experience guarding bigger players.  His physicality, toughness, and quick feet allow him to match-up with most players.  He defends the rim with his length and leaping ability, and also will step in and take a charge.  

Jamal Cain certainly has room to improve his ball-handling, passing, and movement without the ball, as well as his general knowledge of the game, but he’s got a lot of tools to work with.  There was some selfish play on his team that almost certainly resulted in less than optimal play from everyone at some points, and I’d look for a little more efficient play out of Cain under better circumstances.

 

RJ Cole, Uconn

6’1” 185

PG/SG

Senior

 

RJ Cole is a phenomenal competitor who plays with great toughness and physicality. He’s a really good ball-handler and passer who stays on the attack and has a good feel for what his team needs throughout the game.

Cole plays with relentless aggression and sets the tone defensively for his team.  His strength, quickness, physicality, and constant effort make him difficult to play against.

Offensively Cole does everything pretty well.  He’s a good shooter who wants the big shot with the game on the line, and he’s delivered on plenty of occasions.  He creates good looks for himself and his teammates, and can get to the rim and finish, stop short with a floater, or knock down his sweet lefty jump-shot.  Cole also moves very well without the ball, and is willing to do whatever it takes to help his team win.  He’s a good rebounder for his size, and he projects as a capable backup point guard at the next level.

 

Charlie Moore, Miami

5’11” 180

PG

Senior

 

Moore’s small stature will likely lead to him being overlooked, but he’s a phenomenal point guard who led his Miami team on a great run to the elite 8.  Moore has a great handle, and he changes speeds really well to get where he wants to go.  He does a great job of breaking down the defense, and he’s an excellent passer who finds the open man when the defense collapses on him.  He has really good timing and pace on his passes, and his quickness and court vision lead to lots of open looks for his teammates.

Despite his height, Moore is able to get to the rim and finish around taller players.  He’s very strong and uses his body well to get his shot off.  Moore is also a great three-point shooter with very deep range, and he can get his own shot off the dribble with the ability to make difficult ones.  He wants the ball in his hands with the game on the lane, and he’s proven to be clutch under pressure on many occasions.

Moore is a tough defender as well, using his quickness and aggression to cause problems for his opponent.  He’s a great competitor who stays on the attack on both ends, and he’s got a ton of experience on the biggest stages in basketball.  It won’t be easy, but Charlie Moore could certainly carve out a backup role in the NBA.

 

Abu Kigab, Boise St.

6’7” 220

SF/PF

Senior

 

Abu Kigab has great size, length, and toughness, and possesses winning habits on both ends of the floor.  He stays dialed in and focused at all times, and he’s an extremely smart player who brings great energy and does all the little things that sets a positive tone for his team.

Defensively Kigab is a beast.  While not the fastest or most athletic guy, Kigab always plays extremely hard and physical and fights to make life difficult on his opponent.  He moves his feet extremely well to stay in front of his man, and his length, toughness, and high IQ make him very effective on this end.  He’s fundamentally sound and rarely fails to box out, and he grabs more than his share of loose balls and rebounds.

Offensively Kigab is efficient.  He’s a solid ball-handler and a really good passer with the ability to create for his teammates.  He moves extremely well without the ball with a knack for finding the open space, and he never stops setting screens and balancing the floor for his team.  Kigab never shies away from contact and is very comfortable playing through it.

Kigab plays at his own pace with a crafty ability to get where he wants to go.  His tremendous footwork helps create opportunities to score around the basket.  He’s capable of getting to the rim off the dribble, or finishing with a floater or mid-range jumper or fadaway.  While he’s not a great 3-point shooter and could certainly improve his ball-handling, Kigab plays to his strengths and makes good decisions.

Kigab is a clutch player who loves the big games and wants the big shot.  While he almost certainly won’t be a go-to guy at the next level, Kigab would be a great complimentary piece who can help a team win.


Keve Aluma, Virginia Tech

6’9” 235

SF/PF

Senior

 

Keve Aluma is a very skilled player who does most everything well, but he likely won’t be able to play quite the same game at the next level.  He often dominated with jump hooks with both hands in the post in college, and while he’ll probably be able to do some of that in Portsmouth, those kinds of opportunities will be limited by the size and athleticism in the NBA.  Luckily for him he has a lot of other skills to fall back on.

Aluma has great size, length, and coordination.  He’s got a good face-up game in the mid-range, where he’s able to knock down the jumper or find open teammates with great passes for a better look.  He has a really nice touch around the rim with hooks, layups, and floaters, and he’s a good shooter who can make threes.  He handles it well enough to take a few dribbles to create some room for himself, and he’s shown the ability to make difficult step-backs and fadaways.

Aluma is great off the ball, setting tons of screens and staying in constant movement.  He makes great cuts, and he’s able to catch in mid-air and adjust for alley-oop finishes. He’s also a very good rebounder.

Defensively Aluma plays with a high IQ.  He’s nearly always in the right position, and his length helps him come up with deflections, blocks, and steals.  He’s not gonna wow anyone athletically, but he’s solid in all aspects of the game and definitely has a shot to find a role in the NBA.

 

Darius Days, LSU

6’7” 245

SF/PF

Senior

 

Darius Days has great size and strength, and a versatile skill-set that could give him a chance to contribute at the next level.  He did a lot of his damage in the post and on the boards in college, using his strength to bully defenders around the rim.  While his post-up opportunities will likely be much fewer as a professional, he also has the ability to put the ball on the floor and knock down shots from the perimeter.

Days is very active setting screens and moving without the ball, and he’s capable of driving to the basket and finishing through contact.  He displayed good footwork and a nice touch around the rim, and he seeks out the body of his opponent to get himself to the free throw line.  Days has been a very solid three-point shooter throughout his career, and if he continues improving his ball-handling and passing he could certainly find a role in the NBA.

The LSU program has been a disaster in recent times, making it difficult for many players to truly look good on the offensive side of the ball.  Despite this, Days was one of the more efficient players over the course of his time there, and he was a solid team defender as well.

 

Darryl Morsell, Marquette

6’5” 205

SG/PG

Senior

 

Morsell is a really tough competitor and well-rounded player who didn’t have a whole lot of help this season.  His versatility allows him to play multiple positions on both ends, but he was mostly asked to run the point for Marquette this season.  

Morsell is a good ball-handler and passer with a good feel for what his team needs from him at a given time.  He was forced to be more of a scorer since the Golden Eagles didn’t have a whole lot of guys who could put the ball in the basket consistently, and while he’s certainly more suited to a complimentary role, he did a great job of keeping his team in games and getting them to the tournament.

Morsell uses his strength well to get to his spots, showing a great ability to finish around the rim through contact or pull-up for a floater or mid-range jumper.  He does a great job finding his teammates when the defense collapses on him, and he’s deadly from the elbows when they don’t.  Morsell is not a great three-point shooter, but he plays to his strengths and doesn’t shoot a lot of them, and he did improve his percentages significantly this season.

Defensively Morsell can guard at least two positions and probably three.  He’s strong and physical, and when he’s not asked to be a primary scorer he can be extremely good on this end.  Morsell is certainly capable of contributing in the NBA, but he’ll need to become a better shooter before he can truly take on a big role.

 

Garrison Brooks, Mississippi St.

6’9” 230

PF

Senior

 

Garrison Brooks was incredible in his final season at UNC while leading the ACC in scoring, but he just didn’t have the supporting cast to make him look as good at Mississippi State.  Brooks has good size, strength, and length, and he gives great effort on both ends of the floor.  

Brooks is a tough defender who moves his feet extremely well and is usually in the right position.  He stays engaged and communicates well to help his teammates, and he does a good job defending the rim and cleaning up the boards.

Offensively Brooks is always moving setting good screens for his teammates.  He’s got a really good mid-range jumper, and he handles the ball well enough to create looks for himself.  He’s shown the ability to make difficult fadaways from the post, and he’s good at finding open space and finishing around the rim.  Brooks is just a really solid big man who has a chance to carve out a small role in the NBA.

 

Anthony Duruji, Florida

6’7” 209

SG/SF

Senior

 

It’s a little head-scratching as to why Duruji wasn’t a more effective offensive player this season.  There are times where Duruji looks like a sure-fire NBA player, putting his elite size, length, and athleticism on display to soar above the defense for an explosive dunk, or looking really comfortable knocking down shots from the perimeter.  His shot looks really good coming off his hands, and he’s shown a nice floater and the ability to make difficult step-backs and fadaways in the mid-range game.  He’s dangerous in transition and sets a lot of good screens, but he doesn’t impose his will nearly enough, and far too often is a non-factor offensively.  He needs to work on his handle, his passing, and probably add some strength, but his lack of consistent production is concerning.

Duruji has all the tools to be a great defender, and while he’s pretty good on that end, you’d hope someone with his elite physical tools would be more disruptive.  He just doesn’t seem to have the mentality to go out and put his stamp on the game every night, and while he certainly has the potential to contribute in a small role off the bench, chances are you can find someone who will consistently be more aggressive and productive.

 

Fabian White Jr, Houston

6’8” 230

PF

Senior

 

Fabian White was fantastic this season in helping his Houston team overcome the losses of two of its best players and make a run to the Elite 8.  White is a strong, tough, and physical defender who is rarely out of position.  He was one of the leaders on one of the best defensive teams in the country, and his defensive IQ led to plenty of steals and blocks.  He fights extremely hard for rebounds and loose balls, and he does all the little things to help his team win.

White took on a much bigger offensive role with the losses of Marcus Sasser and Tramon Mark, where he displayed a well-rounded skill-set that could get him a look at the next level.  White shot the ball really well from three-point range, and even showed the ability to put the ball on the floor a little bit.  The threat of his long-distance shot opened up the driving lanes, and he was effective using pump fakes to get by his man.  He developed a nice floater this season, and he finished well through contact around the basket.  However, White struggled late in the season against some of the toughest competition and a few guys with extreme length, so I think he’s probably a guy more suited to the G-League.

 

Taz Sherman, West Virginia

6’4” 190

SG/PG

Senior

 

Taz Sherman is quick, aggressive, physical, and gives tremendous effort on both ends of the floor.  He’s an extremely disruptive defender who stays locked in throughout the game, and he’s stronger and tougher than he looks.  

Offensively he’s a very good shooter with a nice floater.  He’s a decent ball-handler who can create his own shot with a step-back or crossover, but he’s a little undersized as a shooting guard and can struggle against bigger defenders.  He’s not a great finisher around the basket, and he’s not a great passer or playmaker, but he moves well without the ball and can score from the post or the perimeter.

He’ll have to become a much better ball-handler and playmaker to make it in the NBA.

 

Nate Watson, Providence

6’10” 260

PF/C

Senior

 

At his best Watson is a physical force inside with great size and strength.  He’s a good on-ball defender with quick hands and feet, as well as a good help defender constantly communicating with his teammates and defending the rim.  He boxes out and cleans up the glass, and uses his strength and athleticism to get easy buckets around the basket.  

Unfortunately Watson isn’t always focused and engaged, and he can completely disappear at times.  He’s very effective when he’s locked in and aggressive, but he doesn’t always impose himself and too often is just a big body out there.  Watson isn’t a threat to make shots outside of about five feet, so I’d want to see a much improved jumper and a lot more consistent effort before I’d take a chance on him.

 

Bryce Hamilton, UNLV

6’4” 205

SG

Senior

 

Bryce Hamilton has a great handle and can easily create his own shot.  He’s an explosive scorer and a really good one-on-one player, but his poor shot selection and decision-making continues to hold him back.

Hamilton can get wherever he wants to go on the floor.  He can get all the way to the rim and finish, stop short with a floater or mid-range jumper, or knock down threes off the dribble.  He can score against anyone with his wide array of crafty moves, but most of the time he needs the ball to be effective offensively.  He needs to move better without the ball, and he has to learn to find open teammates instead of taking low-percentage shots, but throughout college he hasn’t improved much in these areas.

Hamilton has the tools to be a good defender, but he loafs around on that end far too often.  He seems to be constantly waiting to get the ball back so he can score, and while he does that very well, the rest of his game is far behind.  Hamilton has the ability to do everything well, but he’s confident to a fault, and his teams haven’t been very successful.  He’s certainly capable of putting up some big scoring games in Portsmouth, but unless you feel confident you can somehow change his mentality, I’d steer clear of him until I see more improvement.

 

Terrell Brown Jr., Washington

6’3” 185

PG/SG

Senior

 

Terrell Brown Jr is a great ball-handler and scorer who can get his shot off the dribble whenever he wants.  He’s lightning quick and creative with the ball in his hands, and he displays good footwork and crafty moves to get shots off in a wide variety of ways.  He’s really difficult to stop one-on-one, and he’s got a really nice floater and mid-range game.  However, he shot the ball terribly from 3-point range this season, and he’ll have to get much better in this area if he wants any chance to make it at the next level.  Unfortunately this isn’t the only concern.

Brown has a slight build and doesn’t seem to like contact.  He’s not a great passer, and he needs to be a lot better without the ball in his hands.  I’ve got some questions defensively as well.  

While he was the Pac-12 leader in steals, I don’t think he’s necessarily a great defender. It’s hard to tell sometimes when a team plays zone, but he seemed to get a large amount of his steals by gambling, which often resulted in him taking himself out of the play and putting his team in a difficult position.  He was certainly active and appeared to be trying hard defensively, but he’s not physical on that end, and too many times his failed attempts at steals let the opponent have a clear lane to the basket.  It wouldn’t shock me to see him be one of the scoring leaders in Portsmouth, but there’s too many holes in his game for my liking right now.

 

Alex O’Connell, Creighton

6’6” 185

SG/SF

Senior

 

Alex O’Connell is very athletic with a decent handle and a pretty good jump-shot.  He’s capable of knocking down shots off the dribble and the catch, as well as taking it all the way to the basket and finishing above the rim.  He moves well without the ball and isn’t afraid of contact, and when he’s confident and staying on the attack he’s a dangerous player.

O’Connell fights hard defensively and does a good job on the boards.  He’s a good passer and overall just a really solid contributor in all aspects of the game.  He’s got a chance to find a role at the next level if he keeps getting stronger and fine-tuning his game.

 

Ryan Hawkins, Creighton

6’7” 222

SF/PF

Senior

 

Ryan Hawkins will be one of the most skilled basketball players in Portsmouth, but his lack of quickness and jumping ability will limit his professional career.  His basketball intelligence is about as good as it gets, and he always plays extremely hard with toughness and physicality.  He’s locked in and focused throughout every game, and he plays winning basketball everywhere he goes (he won three Division II championships).

Hawkins handles the ball pretty well, and he makes great decisions with the ball in his hands.  He sees the floor and finds the open man, but he’s also capable of driving and finishing with great touch around the basket.  He has tremendous footwork and is an extremely coordinated athlete, skills he surely honed while playing nearly every sport as a kid.

Hawkins moves extremely well without the ball.  He’s always in motion setting screens, and he makes quick sudden movements to create space for himself.  He’s a great 3-point shooter who gets his shot off quickly with accuracy and range, and his size allows him to get his shot off against smaller defenders.

The problem is going to come on defense.  While Hawkins is a smart team defender in help position, a great communicator and leader, and a tough physical defender, he’s going to struggle guarding the ball one-on-one at the next level.  He simply isn’t quick enough to stay with faster opponents, and unfortunately for him the NBA is filled with incredible athletes.

 

D’Shawn Schwartz, George Mason

6’7” 232

SG/SF

Senior

 

D’Shawn Schwartz is a great-shooting lefty who can make tough shots from all over the floor, but his lack of speed and athleticism will make it hard to get open at the next level.  Schwartz is a decent ball-handler and good passer, but he’s not a great defender, and he’ll need to get much quicker, tougher, and be much more active if he hopes to have a career in the NBA.  He seemed to box out more and give better effort earlier this season than he did later on, so it will be interesting to see how he looks in Portsmouth.

 

Devante Jones, Michigan

6’1” 200

PG

Senior

 

Devante Jones has a great handle, and he changes speeds really well to get where he wants to go.  He makes great decisions with the ball in his hands, and he has a tremendous feel for knowing exactly when to drop the ball off to a teammate.  While he’s not very big and can struggle against size and length, he’s strong and tough and doesn’t shy away from contact.  He’s a good finisher around the rim, moves well without the ball, and does everything pretty well offensively.  While he’s not a great three-point shooter, he takes smart shots and plays to his strengths.

Defensively he fights hard and plays with a high IQ.  Unfortunately his lack of size or elite quickness and athleticism will probably keep him from making it in the NBA, but I love his game and think he would make  a very good G-League point guard.

 

Fatts Russell, Maryland

5’11” 165

PG

Senior

 

Fatts Russell is extremely quick with a great handle, and he’s very aggressive on both ends of the floor.  He moves well without the ball, constantly sprinting around and never giving the defense a second to rest.  Once he’s got the ball he always attacks, and he’s a good finisher around the rim and shooter in the mid-range.  He’s not a great three-point shooter, but he’s good enough to make the defense respect it.  He’s a good shooter off the dribble, and he’s also able to find an open teammate when the shot isn’t there.

Russell fights hard defensively.  His toughness and quickness can give opponents problems, but he’s very small and can struggle to defend bigger players.  He could possibly provide a scoring boost off the bench, but he’ll need to keep improving his three-point shot to really make an impact in the NBA.

 

Alex Morales, Wagner

6’6” 180

PG/SG

Senior

 

Alex Morales has great size and length at the point guard position.  He’s a good ball-handler and passer, and he shows good leadership by constantly talking and directing his teammates.  He’s a high IQ player who put up big numbers in the NEC, but he struggled mightily against Bryant in the conference championship game, going 0-16 from the field in the biggest game of the year.  He didn’t have a lot of help and was certainly ganged up on, but he didn’t respond well and never adapted, his shot wasn’t pretty and often missed badly, and I’m concerned how he’ll perform against a higher level of competition.  

Morales is a tough defender with his size and length, but he’s not the most physical guy, and again he hasn’t faced the best competition.  We’ll learn more about Morales this week than we can from anything he did this season.

 

Malik Williams, Louisville

6’11” 245

PF/C

Senior

 

Malik Williams has great size and length that he uses to grab rebounds and cause problems defensively.  He moves his feet well and defends the rim, but he needs to add strength to his slender build to truly be able to bang with NBA post players.  

Offensively Williams still has a long ways to go.  He’s capable of finishing with the jump hook from the post or finding the open man, but he doesn’t have great touch around the basket and often misses from point blank range.  He’s shown the ability to make threes, but it’s not really the shot you want him taking.  He’s active setting screens but often doesn’t set good ones.  He was also suspended late this season for “not meeting the standards of the team,” so there’s a lot of question marks with this particular player.

 

Jimmy Boeheim, Syracuse

6’8” 225

PG/SG

Senior

 

Jimmy Boeheim is a very good shooter with great size.  He’s good at finding the open space, and his height and quick release allows him to get his shot off.  He’s a good ball-handler capable of getting to the rim or finishing with a floater, and he’s able to post-up smaller defenders and score with a nice touch around the basket.  He’s also a solid rebounder who’s dangerous scoring on the offensive glass.

The problem for Jimmy is going to be on the defensive end.  He lacks quickness or explosive athleticism, and his slow lateral movement will make it tough for him to defend the ball.  He doesn’t make much of an impact on this end of the floor, and it will make him too big a liability to have out there at the NBA level.

 

Paul Atkinson Jr., Notre Dame

6’9” 230

PF

Senior

 

Paul Atkinson Jr., is a smart player and good passer with great size.  He’s active setting screens and grabbing rebounds, and he’s got good footwork and a nice touch in the post.  The problem is he’s just way too slow, and he’s not athletic enough to make it in the NBA.  He doesn’t elevate much, and he struggles with turnovers and rushed shots against quicker, more athletic players.

Atkinson fights hard defensively, and he’s a good communicator who talks a lot on this end, but his slow feet and lack of elevation make him a liability.

 

Grant Golden, Richmond

6’10” 255

PF/C

Senior

 

Golden is a skilled player and extremely talented passer who understands the game. He’s a solid ball-handler who sees the floor well and uses good footwork and pump fakes to score around the basket.  He doesn’t really get off the ground or defend the rim, but he’s usually in the right position and makes good decisions on the floor.

Golden often punished smaller defenders in college, but he’s probably not athletic enough to make it in the NBA.  He’ll need to look for a spot in the G-League or overseas.

 

Jacob Gilyard, Richmond

5’9” 160

PG

Senior

 

Jacob Gilyard is extremely quick with a great-handle, and he can put points on the board in bunches.  He’s a smart player who moves well without the ball, finds open teammates, and plays very hard on both ends, but his lack of size can lead to problems against bigger, stronger, and more athletic opponents.

Gilyard can take advantage when he’s up against slower defenders, but unfortunately he won’t run into a whole lot of those at the next level.  He’s a tough defender with quick hands and feet who comes up with a lot of steals, but his opponents at the pro ranks will be bigger, stronger, longer, and often just as quick, so he’ll likely struggle to defend and get open against most players.

 

Justin Bean, Utah St.

6’7” 210

SF

Senior

 

Justin Bean plays extremely hard and stays locked in and focused on both ends.  He moves very well without the ball, sets a lot of screens, and he’s aggressive going after loose balls and rebounds.  He’s a good passer with a decent handle who usually makes the right play, but he’s not a great shooter and doesn’t get a lot of elevation on his shot, and his lack of speed and athleticism will be a problem at the next level.  

Bean is a tough competitor who fights hard defensively, but he’s just not quick or athletic enough to defend players at the next level.

 

Others Who Were Announced but Pulled Out or Declined…

 

Kameron McGusty, Miami

6’5” 190

SG/PG

Senior

 

McGusty is one of the most skilled offensive players in the country.  He’s got great size, length, and athleticism, and plays with a smooth fluidity that’s beautiful to watch.  His handle allows him to easily create his own shots, and when he’s dialed in he’s often capable of being the best player on the floor.  He’s very difficult to stop one-on-one, and he’s able to get wherever he wants to go and score from anywhere on the court in a wide variety of ways.

When he’s at his best, McGusty can manipulate the defense and make the right play. When he decides to attack the defense is forced to help on him, and he has the ability to find open teammates when the shot isn’t there for him.  If no help comes he can get to the rim and finish, stop short with a floater or mid-range jumper, or face-up and knock down the three.  He can even score from the post.  There’s nothing he can’t do offensively, but he doesn’t always play as hard as I’d like, and he can sometimes get lazy and careless with the ball.  

Defensively McGusty has all the tools to be great.  His length and athleticism make him a problem both on the ball and in the passing lanes, and when he’s motivated he’s very difficult to play against.  He was great in the NCAA Tournament while leading his Miami squad to the Elite 8, and he can certainly provide a big-time scoring punch for an NBA team, but his effort and attention to detail will be the deciding factors in just how good McGusty can be at the next level.


Geo Baker, Rutgers

6’4” 185

PG/SG

Senior

 

Geo Baker has great size and length, and often plays his best in the biggest games.  He’s a clutch player who wants the ball in his hands with the game on the line, and his good handle and ability to change speeds and direction effectively allows him to create shots for himself and his teammates.  

His size gives him the ability to get to the rim and finish among the trees, or pull-up and shoot over the defense.  His size and court vision make him a good passer and playmaker, and his length results in many steals and deflections on the defensive end.  

Baker can be a streaky shooter at times, but we he gets hot he can put up points in a hurry.  He’s a good three-point shooter with deep range, and he’s capable of making difficult step-backs and fadaways.  He’s got a chance at a backup role in the NBA.

 

 

 

 

 

Sunday, April 10, 2022

NBA Draft Rankings, by position

With the NCAA Tournament over and the Portsmouth Invitational coming up this week, the 2022 NBA Draft Rankings are really starting to take shape.  Here's the 1st April update, by position....












Thursday, March 17, 2022

2022 NBA Draft Rankings

 Player rankings heading into the NCAA Tournament...




2022 NCAA Team Rankings

 Final team rankings headed into the 2022 NCAA Tournament...




Friday, March 19, 2021

2021 NCAA Bracket Breakdown

Realistically I think only three teams have a chance to win the championship...Gonzaga, Illinois, and Baylor.  Here's what to expect.


West Region

Likely Winner: Gonzaga

 

Gonzaga (1)

Gonzaga is the most well-rounded and best offensive team in the country by far.  They’ve got a group of hungry players determined to complete an undefeated season and cut down the nets, and there’s no doubt they’re the favorite to get it done.  Gonzaga has been knocking on the door to win a title for years now, and it just seems time for the current best coach and best program in college basketball to win its first championship.  Kansas is their only real threat in this region.

Players to Watch: Jalen Suggs, Joel Ayayi, Corey Kispert, Drew Timme, Andrew Nembhard

 

Kansas (3)

This has been a down year by Kansas standards, yet here they are with a solid team still capable of making a deep run in the tournament.  Their inconsistent intensity and lack of an elite talent who can take over games will likely cost them at some point, but a run as far as the elite eight wouldn’t shock me at all.  They’ve got the size, length, and athleticism to match up with anyone.

Players to Watch: Marcus Garrett, David McCormack, Ochai Agbaji, Jalen Wilson

 

Oregon (7)

Chris Duarte is one of the most NBA-ready players in college basketball, but he’ll need some help if Oregon is going to make a deep run.  Their lack of size inside will likely be their downfall, but a great coach and some skilled players certainly give them a shot to win a few games.  They have a good chance to make the Sweet 16.

Players to Watch: Chris Duarte, LJ Figueroa, Eugene Omoruyi

 

Iowa (2)

Iowa has been overrated for most of the season, and their lack of elite speed and athleticism will probably be their downfall.  They move the ball well, have some good shooters on the perimeter, and a big man in Luka Garza who will dominate you physically if you don’t have the size and length to guard him.  With the right draw and some good fortune Iowa is certainly capable of making it as far at the elite eight, but unfortunately for them they’ve drawn a tough first-round matchup.  Grand Canyon has the size and skill to match up with them, and if you’re looking to pick a #2 seed to fall in round one, Iowa is really the only one that might.

Players to Watch: Luka Garza, Joe Weiskamp

 

Missouri (9)

Missouri is a veteran team that doesn’t do anything spectacular, but they’re really solid in all areas.  They’re tough, they’re smart, and Dru Smith has come up clutch at times, but they’re lack of elite talent will catch up with them eventually.  A first-round win isn’t out of the question, but they’ll likely go no farther than that with Gonzaga almost certainly awaiting in round two.

Players to Watch: Jeremiah Tilmon, Dru Smith

 

Ohio (13)

Ohio point guard Jason Preston will play in the NBA one day, and his sky-high basketball IQ will give his team a chance to win a few games in this tournament.  If you’re looking for a double-digit seed to make the Sweet 16, Ohio is probably the best option.

Players to Watch: Jason Preston, Vanderplas

 

Grand Canyon (15)

Grand Canyon is not your typical 15 seed.  They have good size, length, and shooting, and they play extremely hard.  They drew the best possible matchup in an Iowa team that lacks elite athleticism, and if you want to pick a major Cinderella story this team is the one.

Players to Watch:

 

USC (6)

USC is limping to the finish this season, even with a consensus top-five NBA draft pick in Evan Mobley.  They don’t get him the ball nearly enough, and they don’t have the talent surrounding him to make a deep run.  The lack of offensive weapons besides their future lottery pick makes them vulnerable, but they’ve drawn the best possible matchup against the winner of Wichita State and a banged-up Drake team in round one.  They should get by either of these opponents, but it will take a truly heroic performance for Evan Mobley to take USC farther than that.

Players to Watch: Evan Mobley, Tahj Eaddy

 

Oklahoma (8)

Oklahoma doesn’t have any elite NBA prospects, but they do have great guards capable of clutch buckets and a great coach that gives them a good opportunity to succeed.  Unfortunately one of those guards, De’Vion Harmon, is out due to covid, and his absence could be the difference between them winning and losing in round one. Oklahoma plays really well together, but losing one of their best players makes it impossible to win more than one game.

Players to Watch: Austin Reaves

 

Virginia (4)

I think Virginia has been overrated all season, but they did find a way to win the ACC regular season title.  They’re very good defensively again as usual, but their lack of offensive talent will cost them eventually.  Good coaching and a winning culture will serve them well, but this team is still vulnerable to an upset.  Ohio has a real chance to knock them off in round one.

Players to Watch: Trey Murphy III, Jay Huff, Sam Hauser

 

Creighton (5)

Creighton moves the ball extremely well and has shooters all over the floor, but their lack of size and physicality down low makes them vulnerable.  Problems in the locker room have created some major questions with this team heading into the tournament as well.  Will the coach’s recent remarks have a lingering effect on the team?  Events like this can either bring a team closer or tear them apart, and by the looks of their blowout loss to Georgetown in the Big East final, it seems to be having a negative impact.  The Bluejays are certainly capable of winning a couple games, but an early upset might be more likely.  UC Santa Barbara has a real chance to knock them off.

Players to Watch: Damien Jefferson, Marcus Zegarowski, Denzel Mahoney

 

VCU (10)

Bones Hyland can put points on the board in a hurry, but he’ll need some help if his VCU squad is going to do any damage in the tournament.  VCU often gets sloppy and out of control, so Hyland and his teammates will need to take better care of the ball to get wins.  He’ll likely need to deliver a monster performance to get the Rams past Oregon in round one.

Players to Watch: Na’Shon “Bones” Hyland

 

UC Santa Barbara (12)

UCSB has good ball movement and fluid offensive players with some size inside, and while they’re not great defensively, they should have a shot against a Creighton team with some major internal issues.  They could even have a chance to reach the Sweet 16, but a potential run wouldn’t go any further than that with Gonzaga likely looming there.

Players to Watch: JaQuori McLaughlin

 

Eastern Washington (14)

Eastern Washington lacks the speed or athleticism to keep up with Kansas, and they don’t have anyone who can really create their own shot.  They’re a smart team with good ball movement, but if you’re looking to pick a major first-round upset, this isn’t the one.

Players to Watch: Michael Meadows

 

Drake (11)

Drake is a smart team that was undefeated for a large chunk of the season, but an injury to their best player followed by another one to their next best player cost them any chance at an exciting run in March.  Drake’s star, ShanQuan Hemphill, just returned from his injury, but he’s clearly not himself yet.  They did well to sneak by Wichita St., but they likely won’t be so lucky against USC.

Players to Watch: ShanQuan Hemphill

 

Norfolk St. (16)

Norfolk St. plays very hard, but they don’t have the size or skill to pull off an upset against the tournament’s top seed.  They have some athletic guys who might be able to hang around for a little bit and make Gonzaga work, but they’ve got no shot to win.

Players to Watch: Jalen Hawkins

 

 

East Region

Likely Winner: Texas (But lots of others have a realistic chance)

 

Texas (3)

Texas has great size, length, and athleticism, but sloppy play and fighting between teammates have caused some issues for them this season.  They were able to put it all together on their way to winning the Big 12 tournament championship last week, and if they can keep playing lock-down defense and avoid internal issues they have a great chance to make the final four.  Texas has multiple ball-handlers, shooters, and plenty of big bodies inside, as well as several players who seem to thrive in the game’s biggest moments.  The Longhorns have as good a chance as anyone to come out of the wide-open East region.

Players to Watch: Kai Jones, Jericho Sims, Greg Brown, Andrew Jones, Courtney Ramey, Matt Coleman

 

LSU (8)

Ja’Vonte Smart is the X-factor.  He’s not a very smart player, but when he’s on (or at least not blowing the game with bad shots and turnovers) this team can be really good.  LSU is extremely big, long, and athletic, and they possess one of the most dangerous scorers in the game in Cameron Thomas.  They’ve got the talent and athleticism of a final four contender, but their inconsistent play could also lead to an early exit.  Anything could happen with this team.

Players to Watch: Cameron Thomas, Trendon Watford, Ja’Vonte Smart

 

Alabama (2)

Alabama is extremely tough defensively with plenty of size, length, and shooting on the perimeter, but their lack of a true big man will likely be a problem at some point.  I’m a little surprised they were able to win the SEC, and it wouldn’t shock me if they got upset early, but they’re also capable of making a solid run too.  They move the ball extremely well and shoot a lot of threes, and how well they shoot them will likely dictate how far they’ll go.  Texas could be a very difficult matchup for Alabama in the Sweet 16.

Players to Watch: Jaden Shackleford, Herb Jones, John Petty Jr., Josh Primo, Jordan Bruner, Jahvon Quinerly

 

Florida St. (4)

FSU is one of the biggest teams in the country, and as usual they are extremely long and athletic.  This is a team capable of making a final four run, but some poor performances of late make me think they won’t quite get there.  In typical Florida State fashion, they don’t really have a standout go-to player, something that can hurt them late in games.  Freshman Scottie Barnes has the mentality to be that guy, but I’m not sure his shooting is good enough just yet.  FSU will have to take better care of the ball to get deep in the tournament.

Players to Watch: Scottie Barnes, Raiquan Gray, Balsa Koprivica, MJ Walker

 

St. Bonaventure (9)

St. Bonaventure has good size, length, and athleticism, and they’re a smart team with great ball and player movement.  They make good decisions and take care of the ball, and they’re very good on the defensive end as well.  They drew a pretty brutal matchup against an extremely talented LSU team in the first-round, but if they’re able to pull out a win in that one they’ve got a chance to make a deep run.  They’re capable of beating every team in this region, but they could easily lose their first game to LSU.

Players to Watch: Kyle Lofton, Osun Osunniyi

 

Michigan (1)

Michigan is a smart team that moves the ball well and plays good defense, but their lack of elite athleticism will likely cost them eventually. They’ve got a great record and have been ranked highly for most of the season, but a close look at their schedule shows they had the easiest possible road in the Big Ten.  Losing one of their best players, Isaiah Livers, doesn’t help matters either.  They’re the most vulnerable #1 seed by far, and I’d actually be surprised if they made the final four.

Players to Watch: Hunter Dickenson, Franz Wagner, Isaiah Livers?

 

Maryland (10)

Maryland is a solid team with good length and athleticism.  They’ve got a lot of guys who are capable of making shots from the outside and creating off the dribble, but they don’t have any consistent stars.  They don’t have a whole lot of size down low either, but they’re certainly capable of winning a couple games. They should be the favorite in their first one against UCONN.

Players to Watch: Eric Ayala, Darryl Morsell, Donta Scott, Aaron Wiggins

 

UCLA (11)

When UCLA lost their best player earlier this season, I’ll admit I thought they were done.  Coach Mick Cronin has done an incredible job getting this team to respond and bounce back, and right now they’re actually playing pretty well.  Jules Bernard and Jaime Jaquez have really stepped up, and now this team has a chance to prove themselves in the most wide-open region.  They’ve certainly got a good shot to beat BYU, but the size and physicality of Texas will likely be too much to overcome. 

Players to Watch: Jaime Jaquez, Jules Bernard, Cody Riley, Johnny Juzang

 

Colorado (5)

Point guard McKinley Wright is tough and extremely talented, but he’ll need some help if Colorado is going to make any noise in the tournament.  Colorado takes good care of the ball and plays good defense, but someone from the supporting cast has to step up for Colorado to move on, and I’m looking to D’Shawn Schwartz to be that guy.  They’re in one of the easiest sections of the tournament so a run as far as the elite eight isn’t out of the question, but they’ll have to shoot really well to do something like that.  They’ll more than likely fall to Florida St. in round two if they can get by Georgetown.

Players to Watch: McKinley Wright, D’Shawn Schwartz


BYU (6)

BYU is one of the only teams to give Gonzaga even a little bit of a scare this year, so they’re certainly capable of winning games in the tournament.  Point guard Alex Barcello is extremely skilled in all facets of the game, and he’ll need to deliver big performances for this team to move on.  Gideon George will likely need to play a major role as well.  They have a decent chance to win their first game against UCLA, but Texas would be a really difficult matchup in round two.

Players to Watch: Alex Barcello, Gideon George, Matt Haarms

 

UCONN (7)

James Bouknight is extremely talented, but he’s going to have to be more aggressive and carry this team if they hope to make a run.  His supporting cast just isn’t very good, and the Huskies can’t afford for Bouknight to “make the right play” and defer to his teammates.  He’s got to channel Kemba Walker and look to completely takeover games for them to advance, because they just don’t have enough offensive talent to take advantage of his playmaking for others.

Players to Watch: James Bouknight

 

Georgetown (12)

Georgetown has great size, length, and athleticism and plays tough, aggressive defense, but turnovers and poor selection has plagued them all season long.  They put a few good games together to win the Big East tournament just to make it here, but they’ll need to clean up the mistakes to advance.  They’ve got a chance to get by Colorado if they can overwhelm them athletically, but it’s tough to see them getting any farther than that.

Players to Watch: Jahvon Blair, Chudier Bile, Jamorko Pickett, Qudus Wahab

 

UNCG (13)

UNCG is a tough team led by their do-everything guard Isaiah Miller.  His relentless aggression and fearless mentality got this team to the tournament, but he’ll need some help if the Spartans are going to make a run.  UNCG has some speed, length, and shooting, and they play a super-aggressive trapping defense.  There were a lot of situations where I would have picked UNCG to win a game or two, but drawing Florida St. was an unfortunate break for the Spartans.  They’ve got a chance if they can get this turnover-prone Seminole team to cough the ball up with their pressure, but more likely they’ve just run into a more talented team who does everything just a little bit better than they do.

Players to Watch: Isaiah Miller

 

Abilene Christian (14)

Abilene Christian is quick and active defensively and plays extremely hard, but their lack of size and elite athleticism is going to be a big problem against what is probably the biggest and most athletic team in the tournament, their first-round opponent Texas.  I just don’t see any way for them to beat the Longhorns.

Players to Watch: Kolton Kohl

 

Texas Southern (16)

Texas Southern has really good length and athleticism, but they’ll need to shoot the ball a lot better from the outside to have a chance against Michigan.  They’ll likely need a heroic performance from Michael Weathers to upset the #1 seed.  He’s got a great handle, court vision, and changes speeds well to create open space for himself or teammates, but he and his teammates will need to shoot it well to have a chance.

Players to Watch: Michael Weathers, John Walker III

Iona (15)

It’s impressive to see Rick Pitino taking yet another team to the NCAA tournament, but his Iona squad doesn’t do anything at a high enough level to threaten Alabama in round one.

Players to Watch: Isaiah Ross

 

 

South Region

Likely Winner: Baylor

 

Baylor (1)

Baylor is the toughest and best defensive team in the country.  They were a clear top-2 team for most of the season until covid threw a hitch into everything, but coach Scott Drew still has a great chance to get his first final four appearance this season.  The Baylor guards are as good as any in the country, but their lack of a true inside offensive presence might be the thing that keeps them from winning it all.  They got a really tough draw in terms of potential matchups, with two of the biggest teams in the tournament in their section of the South region.  UNC and Purdue have the massive size inside to cause Baylor big problems, but the Bears have the talent, skill, and aggression to find a way to beat them both.

Players to Watch: Davion Mitchell, Macio Teague, Jared Butler

 

Ohio St. (2)

Ohio St. has great guards capable of knocking down shots and getting to the rim, but they’re lack of size inside will likely be their downfall.  They play hard and have a bunch of good, experienced players, and Duane Washington is fearless and has come up clutch with games on the line.  Ohio State’s great ball movement and tough defense could carry them as far as the final four, but it’s hard to see them winning it all.

Players to Watch: Duane Washington, E.J. Liddell, C.J. Walker, Justice Sueing, Kyle Young

 

Purdue (4)

Purdue is one of the biggest teams in the nation, and they’ve got the depth and talent to make a run in the tournament. 7’4” freshman Zach Edey will be a matchup nightmare for most every team, and Purdue has another great big man in Trevion Williams as well.  If freshman Jaden Ivey plays to his potential, the Boilermakers could make a deep run.  Purdue’s guards are extremely young, so they’ll need to be relentless in feeding the post if Purdue hopes to get to a final four.  With two big guys like the ones they have, they’ll have a chance against anyone.

Players to Watch: Zach Edey, Trevion Williams, Jaden Ivey

 

Texas Tech (6)

The Red Raiders aren’t the most talented offensive team, but they play extremely hard and are very well coached.  Texas Tech is always aggressive and physical defensively, and this year is no different.  They’re certainly capable of grinding out games and making a deep run, but their inconsistent offense makes them also susceptible to an early loss.  They’ll likely get by Utah St., and a second-round matchup with Arkansas would be one of the more intriguing matchups of the tournament.  If they could pull off a win in that one, an elite eight certainly isn’t out of the question.

Players to Watch: Terrence Shannon Jr., Mac McClung

 

Arkansas (3)

Arkansas has great size, length, and athleticism, and if they can shoot it well they’ve got an opportunity to make a deep run.  The Razorbacks have a bunch of good guards and wing-players, making them extremely versatile on both ends.  Their pressure defense will cause problems for a lot of teams, but it will be the offense that decides how far they can go.  They’re certainly capable of making the final four, but they’ll have to be clicking on all cylinders offensively to do it. 

Players to Watch: Moses Moody, Jalen Tate, Davonte Davis, Justin Smith, JD Notae

 

Villanova (5)

Villanova has one of the nation’s best coaches and plays extremely hard, but devastating injuries late in the season will make a deep run very difficult.  I’m sure Jay Wright will do everything possible to rally the troops, but this already wasn’t a supremely talented Villanova squad, and losing their point guard and leader won’t be easy to recover from.  An early letdown would be understandable given their recent events, and they certainly didn’t get any favors drawing a tough Winthrop squad in round one, but they’re still more than capable of getting a win.  Beating Purdue in round two would be a much bigger ask.

Players to Watch: Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Jermaine Samuels, Justin Moore

 

Winthrop (12)

Winthrop is an extremely deep team with great speed and athleticism.  They’re tough and play as hard as anyone, and if you’re looking to pick a lower ranked team to make a Cinderella run, Winthrop is a good choice.  Point guard Chandler Vaundrin is a triple-double threat who has as high a basketball IQ as any player in college basketball, and Winthrop is used to winning, having lost only one game by two points this season.  Big man D.J. Burns is tough and has great touch around the basket, and he should have an advantage inside against Villanova in round one.  A potential matchup with Purdue in round two would be much more difficult.

Players to Watch: Chandler Vaudrin, D.J. Burns

 

UNC (8)

North Carolina has probably been the most inconsistent team in the country this year, and there’s really no telling what they might do in this tournament.  The Tar Heels have as much size as anyone, but their poor perimeter shooting and propensity for turning the ball over will likely result in a loss at some point.  In the last few games Roy Williams has finally started playing his best players more often, and it would’ve been great to see what this UNC team would have looked like had he been playing them all year.  Walker Kessler has finally been getting some playing time and has performed very well, and Day’Ron Sharpe has finally started getting the time he deserves, but now it’s too late for this team to reach it’s potential.  Anthony Harris could have been the stabilizing point guard this team needs, but he was never given the opportunity.  If Roy can put his best lineups on the floor Carolina has a chance at a deep run, but I don’t trust him to make the right decisions at the right times.  They’ll likely get by Wisconsin, and while they would have a substantial size advantage against Baylor in round two, it’s hard to see them finding a way to beat the Bears.

Players to Watch: Day’Ron Sharpe, Walker Kessler, Armando Bacot

 

Virginia Tech (10)

Virginia Tech is a tough, well-rounded team, but their lack of an elite scorer could be their undoing.  They’ve got good bigs, shooting, and a solid defense, but they aren’t spectacular in any particular area.  They’ll have a good chance against Florida in round one, and it isn’t out of the question for them to make a run as far as the elite eight, but more than likely they won’t get through the first weekend.

Players to Watch: Keve Aluma, Justyn Mutts, Tyrece Radford

 

Florida (7)

Florida has great size, speed, and athleticism, but the loss of Keyonte Johnson early in the season severely lowered the ceiling for this team.  They’ve still got plenty of talent to work with however. Tre Mann will play in the NBA, Tyree Appleby creates plays for his teammates, and they’ve got a draw where they could potentially get as far as the elite eight.  They could also lose their first game, and I just don’t think this team has the consistency to realistically get out of the first weekend.

Players to Watch: Tre Mann, Colin Castleton, Tyree Appleby

 

Wisconsin (9)

D’Mitrik Trice has been great all season and has really carried this team, but their lack of size and athleticism could be a big problem in their round one matchup against Carolina.  UNC’s inconsistency certainly gives Wisconsin a chance to advance, but a second-round matchup against Baylor probably isn’t winnable.

Players to Watch: D’Mitrik Trice, Micah Potter

 

Utah St. (11)

Utah St. has a long and athletic big man in Neemias Queta who can be a big problem for opposing teams, but he’ll need more contributions from his teammates to win games in the tournament.  They aren’t very athletic on the perimeter, and their guards will likely have a hard time against the relentless pressure of Texas Tech.  Queta will need a massive performance to give his team any chance of pulling the upset.

Players to Watch: Neemias Queta, Justin Bean

 

North Texas (13)

North Texas has good speed and athleticism and plays extremely hard, and with the kind of skill they possess I would have picked them to potentially pull some upsets with a different draw.  Unfortunately for them they drew one of the worst possible matchups for a team lacking size inside.  Purdue is huge, and North Texas will likely have a big problem with Zach Edey and Trevion Williams around the basket.

Players to Watch: Javion Hamlett

 

Colgate (14)

Colgate moves the ball well and has several great three-point shooters, but their lack of athleticism will likely be a major problem against an extremely long and athletic Arkansas squad.  Colgate’s guards are small and will probably have a really difficult time getting open for clean looks, so there isn’t much chance of an upset here.

Players to Watch: Jordan Burns

 

Hartford (16)

Hartord plays with great energy and effort, and their coach has clearly created a great culture, but they just don’t do anything well enough to threaten Baylor in round one.  They lack the speed and athleticism to keep up.

Players to Watch: Austin Williams

 

Oral Roberts (15)

Oral Roberts has some guys who can hit threes, but they’re small, not very athletic, and really struggle to rebound the ball.  They do have the nation’s leading scorer, but he only has that honor because this league isn’t very good.  No chance of an upset here.

Players to Watch: Max Abmas, Kevin Obanor

 

 

Midwest Region

Likely Winner: Illinois

 

Illinois (1)

Ayo Dosunmo is one of the best players in the country, and his ability to take over games and come up clutch in the biggest moments gives Illinois a great chance at a deep run.  Having one of the most physically dominant players in Kofi Cockburn helps too.  Illinois recently played without their star and had several role players step up in his absence, and that should bode well for the Illini in the tournament.  They’ve got speed, athleticism, shooting, and size, and they’re one of the most complete teams in the nation.  This team has a great chance to win the whole thing.

Players to Watch: Ayo Dosunmo, Kofi Cockburn

 

 

Oklahoma St. (4)

Anytime you’ve got the potential #1 pick in the NBA Draft, you’ve got a chance.  Cade Cunningham will almost always be the best player on the floor, and his ability to take over when necessary gives Oklahoma St. an opportunity to make a deep run.  Several players stepped up when Cunningham was forced to miss a few games in recent weeks, and the confidence those players gained could play a big role in the tournament.  A final four run is a real possibility, but Cunningham’s supporting cast will have to be on their game to get by Illinois in the Sweet 16.  They let him down against Texas in the Big 12 final, and I really think Cunningham needs to come out super aggressive from the opening tip in every game if he has aspirations of winning a championship.  He’ll need to be extremely dominant and clearly the best player in the tournament to make that happen.

Players to Watch: Cade Cunningham, Avery Anderson III

 

West Virginia (3)

They’re tough, physical, and play extremely hard like West Virginia teams always seem to do, and they’ve got the talent and size to do some damage in the tournament.  They’re battle-tested in a brutal Big 12, and it wouldn’t shock me to see them in the last eight, but I also wouldn’t be surprised if they get upset early.  Morehead St. is capable of beating them, so they’ll have to bring it from the start if they hope to make a run.

Players to Watch: Derek Culver, Miles McBride, Taz Sherman

 

Houston (2)

Quentin Grimes is one of the more talented guards in the country, and if he imposes his will in this tournament Houston has a chance to advance to the later stages.  They play as hard as anyone in the country, and their toughness should serve them well.  Houston’s defense is as good as any in the country, but it will be their offensive performance that dictates how far they can go.  They’re certainly capable of making a final four, but an off-shooting night could cost them as early as the Sweet 16.

Players to Watch: Quentin Grimes, DeJon Jarreau, Tramon Mark

 

Tennessee (5)

Tennessee is very tough and really good defensively, but their inconsistent offense and over-reliance on freshman guards will likely be their downfall.  Keon Johnson has a very bright future and plays with relentless aggression and competitive fire, and he’ll need to be a star for this team to go anywhere in the tournament.  They should have a good chance to get by Oregon St., but Oklahoma St. would be a difficult matchup in round two.  It’s not out of the question for them to beat the Cowboys, but the run would almost certainly end there against Illinois.

Players to Watch: Keon Johnson, Jaden Springer, Victor Bailey Jr.

 

Loyola Chicago (8)

Loyola Chicago is an extremely intelligent team that shares the ball and shoots it well from the perimeter.  Cameron Krutwig is a tough matchup, and their chances of making another exciting run like they did a few years ago went up after Georgia Tech’s Moses Wright was ruled out of their opening round game.  Getting more than one win is pretty unlikely however, as Illinois will almost certainly await them in round two.

Players to Watch: Cameron Krutwig

 

Syracuse (11)

Jim Boeheim is another Hall of Fame coach that isn’t making great decisions anymore, but he’s still got some good talent to work with.  Using strictly a zone defense is an outdated thing to do, but Syracuse still has the length and skill to win a few games in the tournament.  An elite eight appearance isn’t out of the question, but they could just as easily lose in the first round to San Diego St.

Players to Watch: Quincy Guerrier, Alan Griffin, Kadary Richmond, Buddy Boeheim

 

San Diego St. (6)

San Diego St. is a veteran team with good size and length, and they play extremely hard and are tremendous defensively.  They’re usually the first to a loose ball, but their lack of consistent scoring options could be their downfall.  Matt Mitchell and Jordan Schakel will need help to move forward in the tournament, and while they’re certainly capable of winning a few games, they could also lose to Syracuse in round one.

Players to Watch: Matt Mitchell, Jordan Schakel

 

Oregon St. (12)

Oregon St. wasn’t very good for most of the year, but they pulled off a couple big upsets in the conference tournament and got themselves in the mix. Warith Alatishe is extremely long and athletic and plays very hard, while point guard Ethan Thompson is capable of carrying the team with a big game.  Oregon St. will need to shoot it well to beat Tennessee in the first round.

Players to Watch: Ethan Thompson, Warith Alatishe

 

Rutgers (10)

Rutgers has some good size and quickness, but a few of their best players also have conditioning issues.  They’ve got some offensive talent and plenty of guys who can make shots, but I don’t trust them at all.  They drew a great matchup with an offensively-challenged Clemson team in round one, but they likely won’t get through the first weekend.

Players to Watch: Ron Harper Jr., Myles Johnson, Jacob Young, Geo Baker, Cliff, Omoruyi

 

Morehead St. (14)

Morehead St. is a tough team with good speed and athleticism, and if they can shoot it like they did in their conference championship game they’ve got a chance to pull an upset or two.  They run their offense through freshman Johni Broome in the post, and his ability to make the right play opens up good opportunities for their shooters on the perimeter.  A good draw presents them a chance to make a Cinderella run, but getting past West Virginia in the opening round won’t be an easy task.

Players to Watch: Johni Broome, DeVon Cooper, Skyelar Potter

 

Georgia Tech (9)

Moses Wright is their best player and a beast inside, but unfortunately he won’t be suiting up due to covid.  Jose Alvarado’s infectious energy sets the tone for this team on both ends of the floor, and the Yellow Jackets have a combination of size, length, speed, and athleticism on the perimeter that can cause problems for Loyola Chicago.  Georgia Tech played great defense on their way to the ACC Tournament championship, but that was with Moses Wright on the floor.  It’s going to be tough to overcome the loss of the ACC Player of the Year.

Players to Watch: Jose Alvarado

 

Clemson (7)

Clemson is a great defensive team, but they’re not very good offensively.  They’re certainly capable of winning a game or two, but they could just as easily fall to Rutgers in round one.  Aamir Sims is an extremely talented player, but he often fails to impose his will on the game.  He needs to be more aggressive for this team to move on.

Players to Watch: Aamir Simms

 

Cleveland St. (15)

Cleveland St. moves the ball well, but they’re small, not very athletic, and don’t really have anyone who creates their own shot.  They don’t have much of a chance to beat Houston.

Players to Watch: Torrey Patton

 

Liberty (13)

Liberty played some great defense and shot the ball extremely well in their league, but I have a feeling they’re really going to struggle against bigger, more athletic teams.  They move the ball well, and their 5’8” guard Darius McGhee is extremely skilled and fun to watch, but Liberty’s lack of size and athleticism will make it very difficult to pull off an upset against Oklahoma St.

Players to Watch: Darius McGhee

 

Drexel (16)

Drexel is lucky to be here, as they finished 6th in their conference in the regular season before making a run in the conference tournament.  They’re small, don’t have much athleticism, and really don’t have much of a chance to hang with Illinois.

Players to Watch: Camren Wynter, James Butler